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Lessons from the U.S. midterms for Jair Bolsonaro (Brazilian Report)

 

https://brazilian.report/opinion/2022/11/18/trump-us-midterms-election-bolsonaro/

Repudiation of numerous radical pro-Trump candidates suggests Brazilian voters, too, may grow tired of the most extreme elements of Bolsonarismo

Until recently, Donald Trump’s post-2020 election strategy seemed highly attractive to Brazil’s Jair Bolsonaro. Despite losing his re-election bid, Mr. Trump managed to retain the support of a sizeable part of the Republican electorate and in the recent primaries, pro-Trump candidates successfully ousted more moderate politicians such as Liz Cheney, a congresswoman from Wyoming.

The continued support for Mr. Trump and his role as Joe Biden’s most likely challenger in 2024 also made it riskier for the U.S. Justice system to prosecute the former television star: it is one thing to put a former president behind bars, quite another to imprison the leader of the opposition.

Finally, the sizable number of Trump voters who believe the 2020 elections were stolen — despite no evidence suggesting fraud — has deepened polarization and made governing the country more….

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SOBRE

Oliver Stuenkel

Oliver Della Costa Stuenkel é analista político, autor, palestrante e professor na Escola de Relações Internacionais da Fundação Getúlio Vargas (FGV) em São Paulo. Ele também é pesquisador no Carnegie Endowment em Washington DC e no Instituto de Política Pública Global (GPPi) ​​em Berlim, e colunista do Estadão e da revista Americas Quarterly. Sua pesquisa concentra-se na geopolítica, nas potências emergentes, na política latino-americana e no papel do Brasil no mundo. Ele é o autor de vários livros sobre política internacional, como The BRICS and the Future of Global Order (Lexington) e Post-Western World: How emerging powers are remaking world order (Polity). Ele atualmente escreve um livro sobre a competição tecnológica entre a China e os Estados Unidos.

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