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How to Address Venezuela’s Refugee Crisis (Americas Quarterly)

 
Photo: LUIS ROBAYO/AFP/Getty Images

https://www.americasquarterly.org/content/how-address-venezuelas-refugee-crisis

BY OLIVER STUENKEL | AUGUST 29, 2018
Venezuela’s exodus requires a coordinated regional response.

The scenes of an angry mob of Brazilians harassing Venezuelan refugees and burning their belongings in the border town of Pacaraima were appalling. While the Brazilian crowd was chanting the national anthem, over 1,000 Venezuelans, protected by Brazilian police, fled across the border back into their ravaged country. Ciro Gomes, a presidential candidate, said he felt “ashamed of being Brazilian” upon hearing the news.

A growing number of Brazilian right-wing YouTubers and bloggers are spreading fake news that the Venezuelan refugee crisis is actually a plot to infiltrate communists into Brazil. Such ideas will reach thousands of citizens through WhatsApp messages, making adoption of sensible refugee policies more politically costly. With an election looming, opportunists will find such a narrative irresistible, a handy scapegoat to externalize the blame for all sorts of domestic problems.

In other countries, too, tensions are rising. Several governments, including those of Ecuador, Chile, Peru and Colombia, announced they would require Venezuelan newcomers to present a passport at the border. This would be a particularly draconian measure considering that even toilet paper has been scarce in the Bolivarian republic for years. (A judge has since rescinded the measure in Ecuador.)

The exodus from Venezuela is one of the largest migratory movements in Latin American history, and the catastrophe is now gaining global attention. More than 2 million Venezuelans have fled in recent years, compared to the 1.8 million refugees who have arrived in Europe since 2015. Maduro’s economic reforms – particularly a dramatic increase of the minimum wage – are likely to have a negative effect on employment, further increasing the number of those leaving Venezuela.

In addition, many Venezuelans who have already migrated will bring their families along in the coming years once their financial circumstances have stabilized. While Spain and the United States receive an influx of well-off Venezuelans, it is South America, hosting poorer and more desperate newcomers, that must prepare for the bulk of the arrivals.

There are some hopeful signs. NGOs across the continent have set up initiatives to help refugees. Brave journalists report on the unspeakable misery Venezuelans have experienced at home, helping readers in neighboring countries develop greater empathy. In a particularly commendable decision, Colombia’s former President Juan Manuel Santos signed a decree, during one of his last decisions in office, allowing more than 400,000 undocumented Venezuelans to permanently stay in Colombia.

Brazil’s President Michel Temer and Foreign Minister Aloysio Nunes have rejected calls to “close the border” to fleeing Venezuelans. Doing so, in any case, would be both illegal and futile: Given that Venezuela’s borders with Colombia and Brazil are each more than 1000 miles long, closed points of entry would just encourage more undocumented migration.

Merely rejecting populist measures and calling for empathy will not be enough. What South American governments urgently need is a coherent regional strategy to address one of the most complex humanitarian and political challenges in years. The implications for human rights, employment, border security and the struggle against organized crime could be profound.

Thousands of Venezuelan migrants – often unaware of their rights – have already been victims of human rights abuses across the region. The mere perception of chaos on television screens can lead voters to choose xenophobic candidates, even if they have never met a Venezuelan in person. Less than 0.05 percent of people living in Brazil today are Venezuelans – and yet the lack of a coherent strategy by the federal government leads many Brazilians to believe many more are already in the country. This tendency is largely fueled by bombastic language on social media of “waves” or “invasions” of migrants.

In a much-needed move, the Ecuadorean government has called for a regional summit in September to discuss the situation with heads of state from around Latin America. First of all, governments should commit to adopting the same strategy and bureaucratic requirements at their borders, standardizing the process of regularizing migrants. Secondly, they should develop a single monitoring system. With the help of their embassies in Caracas, it is possible to gather data and develop models to anticipate how many Venezuelans will leave each month – and thus better… 

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Oliver Stuenkel

Oliver Della Costa Stuenkel é analista político, autor, palestrante e professor na Escola de Relações Internacionais da Fundação Getúlio Vargas (FGV) em São Paulo. Ele também é pesquisador no Carnegie Endowment em Washington DC e no Instituto de Política Pública Global (GPPi) ​​em Berlim, e colunista do Estadão e da revista Americas Quarterly. Sua pesquisa concentra-se na geopolítica, nas potências emergentes, na política latino-americana e no papel do Brasil no mundo. Ele é o autor de vários livros sobre política internacional, como The BRICS and the Future of Global Order (Lexington) e Post-Western World: How emerging powers are remaking world order (Polity). Ele atualmente escreve um livro sobre a competição tecnológica entre a China e os Estados Unidos.

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